RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern – betting prediction, odds for the German Supercup (30/07/2022, 20:30 CET)

RB Leipzig vs FC Bayern

On Saturday at 20:15 RB Leipzig will face FC Bayern Munich at the Red Bull Arena in Leipzig. We have the best betting predictions, odds and all the team news for you.

What speaks in favour of RB Leipzig?

  • A well-rehearsed team without major changes
  • First complete preparation under Tedesco
  • Home game in Leipzig
  • Many players with World Cup ambitions

What speaks for FC Bayern?

  • Defending champions in the last two years
  • Record investment in the new team
  • Only one defeat against Leipzig

Our betting prediction:

  • Betting: RB Leipzig +0.5 AH
  • Bookmaker: Bet365
  • Odds: 1.98

On Saturday, the first important title of the season will be awarded in Germany: In the DFL Supercup, the reigning champion traditionally meets the current DFB Cup winner. This cup was already played in the 80s and 90s but then suspended for a few years. Since 2010, it has once again been a fixed part of the regular season. With the exception of 2011 (Dortmund vs. Schalke), Bayern Munich has always been in it. In the last three years, the duel has always been FC Bayern vs. Borussia Dortmund, with Dortmund winning once and Bayern twice – in 2020 and 2021 – and thus going into this match as defending champions.
If the score is tied after 90 minutes, the match is decided by a penalty shootout without extra time.

Team news RB Leipzig

The face of RB Leipzig has hardly changed this season. With Nordi Mukiele (Paris St. Germain) and Tyler Adams (Leeds United) only two players have left the squad, plus Ademola Lookman and Brian Brobbey, who were loaned out last year. The only new arrivals are Austrian midfielder Xaver Schlager, who came from VfL Wolfsburg, and goalkeeper Janis Blaswich as the new number 2 behind Peter Gulasci.
On the other hand, it is also the first full pre-season under coach Domenico Tedesco, who took over from predecessor Jesse Marsh in December 2021.

Important for RB Leipzig was the contract extension of Christopher Nkunku, the best Bundesliga player of last season. Since the departure of Erling Haaland to Manchester City, he is also the most valuable player in the league.
It is difficult to assess how Leipzig is doing at the moment. The last test match against Liverpool FC went thoroughly wrong – the Reds lost 0:5. Tedesco has all his regular players available for this match.

Team news FC Bayern

The champions FC Bayern will have to do without their outstanding goal scorer of the last few years this season: Robert Lewandowski. The Pole has not yet been equally replaced by Bayern. Instead, however, FC Bayern has spent a lot of money to strengthen other parts of the team. Ryan Grevenberch and Noussair Mazraoui came from Ajax Amsterdam, centre-back Matthis de Ligt from Juventus Turin and Africa’s Footballer of the Year Sadio Mané from Liverpool FC. The question will be how Bayern will compensate for the absence of a goal-scorer like Robert Lewandowski.
Besides the injured Leon Goretzka, coach Julian Nagelsmann can call on all players.

Statistics

  • In 14 games, RB Leipzig has only won once against FC Bayern – with 5 draws.
  • In 3 of the last 6 duels, less than 3 goals were scored – in the other three, however, more than 4.
  • Leipzig has recently scored at least one goal in 90% of their matches, Bayern in 80% – and in half of all matches even at least 2.
  • In the last 12 Supercup matches, there has only been a penalty shoot-out decision three times.
  • 50% of the Supercup decisions since 2010 ended with more than 2 goals.
  • In half of the matches since 2010, the teams remained without a goal of their own
  • Last season, Leipzig scored 61% of its goals in the last 30 minutes – Bayern, on the other hand, only 21%.

Our betting prediction for RB Leipzig vs. FC Bayern Munich

At this early stage of the season, it is difficult to make good predictions. There are a lot of question marks in play. One thing is clear: RB Leipzig has not changed much and is a well-rehearsed construct with many players who are not regulars in their respective national teams and want to present themselves for the 2022 World Cup in Qatar, such as Nkunku, Olmo or Silva.

Bayern is facing major tactical changes. Sadio Mané worked well in Liverpool’s system, but what will it be like at Bayern?

We think that the odds in this game, which is also a home game for Leipzig, clearly speak for a bet on the underdog and therefore bet with the Asian Handicap +0.5 or Double Chance 1x that RB will not lose this game. This is available at good odds of 1.98 with providers such as Bet365.

Bet: RB Leipzig +0.5 Asian Handicap @1.98 Bet365 and others

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Max Stargard
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By Max Stargard

Even as a child, I started typing the results of the Bundesliga with my friends at school. The stakes were modest back then: The lunch, a few marbles or maybe a milk slice. Then, at the age of 9, I played the penalty bet once - and immediately got 10 right. The previous week I had won 500 DM and in my childish imagination I was already imagining how many football pictures I could buy at the kiosk on the corner. Unfortunately, it was one of those match days when everything turned out as expected and I only won DM 8.10. Nevertheless, I followed the game with great interest. Nevertheless, the passion to correctly predict the outcome of sporting events haunted me for the rest of my life. I would have loved to own the sports almanac that Marty McFly bought in Back to the Future II. Much later, when I was already working as a journalist for newspapers and as a writer for television, I came across an international betting forum with over 100,000 members - and found out that a lot of people there were giving their tips on German football, but nobody seemed to have a real clue, so I wrote a few English-language preliminary reports with a few tips - and was right about everything. After that, an avalanche started. I got offers from bookmakers, sports papers and even betting syndicates to work for them - and I accepted a few of them too, experiencing the ups & downs of sports betting and travelling halfway around the world in the years that followed. There I met Chinese multimillionaires betting five to six figures, amateur players in Serbia or Turkey supporting their families with small stakes, South Africans gambling away half their fortune, Brazilians who could only leave their favelha and become rich by making the right tips. At one point my life was similar to Matthew McCaughaney's in the film Two For The Money - and far too much stress. I subsequently moved to another continent and ran an English-language football epaper about the Bundesliga from there. After the birth of my son, I devoted myself for many years only to artistic projects in the field of photography and literature. However, I am happy to share my knowledge and passion with the readers of bettingtipsafrica.