On Sunday 30 January, these two clubs will meet at Cardiff City Stadium in Cardiff. Here you will find our preview of the match, an analysis of the general situation, statistics and the best odds. The kick-off of the Championship match is at 16:00 CET. The match will be refereed by David Webb.
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What’s in Cardiff City’s favour?
- Good record against Nottingham (15-3-6)
- All players are on board
What’s in it for Nottingham Forrest?
- Very good form recently with 4 wins in a row
- Fourth best away team
- Cardiff is the worst home team
Our betting tip
- Bet: Nottingham Forrest Asian Handicap 0
- Bookmaker: Betway
- Odds: 1.88
The two traditional clubs go into this important game with very different ambitions. Cardiff has dropped too many points, especially at home in Wales. They are in danger of relegation. They are currently 21st – just one point away from the relegation zone. Nottingham, on the other hand, is desperate for promotion and are only one point away from 6th place, which would entitle them to qualify for the play-offs.
EXPERT ANALYSIS CARDIFF CITY
After being relegated from the EPL, Cardiff is desperately trying to return to the top division. In the 2019/2020 season, they still managed to qualify for the play-offs in fifth place, but last season they fell far short of expectations, finishing 8th. This season, things are not going well at all. The season started quite well, but then the Welsh fell further and further down the table. At the end of October, coach Mick McCarthy, who had only joined the club in January 2021, was sacked. McCarthy could only manage 14 wins in 38 games with Cardiff – too few.
His successor was former U23 coach Steve Morison, who, however, had no experience as a head coach. There was no improvement under him either. His record from 12 league games: Only 3 wins and 3 draws. The air is already getting very thin for the former Millwall FC professional. Actually, they need many new players, but with the right defender Cody Drameh and centre back Tommy Doyle only two loan players came – to get playing practise. A lot is expected from England U21 international Tommy Doyle. The ManCity player was previously loaned to Hamburger SV but failed to make an impact there due to poor defensive performances.
Cardiff is struggling, especially at home. They are still the team with the worst home record. At least they could beat the higher placed Preston North End (2:1) and Huddersfield Town (2:1) at home. Last week they lost 2:3 at Bristol.
Expert analysis Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forrest has played continuously in the Championship for 14 years. That is very disappointing for a club that even won the Champions League once (in the 1980 final against Hamburg). But this season things are looking pretty good for the team of manager Steve Cooper, who has been on the sidelines since matchday 9. Cooper took over Nottingham when they were in a disastrous 23rd place – and has since guided them to 7th place, with a very good points average of 2.0 per game. If the season had only started that day, Nottingham Forrest would now be top of the table.
And they continue to upgrade. The two experienced defenders, American Laryea and Bournemouth defender Cook, will join the team, and the talented Aston Villa striker Davis will add further impetus in attack. Nottingham can build on their good away results. Coach Cooper is Welsh himself, but as a former coach of arch-rivals Swansea, he will certainly not be welcomed with open arms in Cardiff …
Head-2-Head & Statistics
In the head-to-head comparison between the two teams, Cardiff City still has the edge. In 24 games against each other, the Welsh have won 15. That is a clear win rate of 63%. But the recent past looks different. Both home games since relegation have gone 1-0 to Nottingham, and with that knowledge in mind, Forrest will have no interest in those old H2H-Stats.
Cardiff has conceded a goal or more in 100% of their home games, but have only scored in 42% of their home games themselves. Nottingham is a different story altogether. The fourth best away team has scored a goal themselves in 77% of their away games. Still, the expected goal haul here is very low. Overall only 40% of both teams’ games ended with more than 2 goals. Another indication of Nottingham’s superiority is the shot conversion rate: Cardiff is at a disappointing 6% – while Nottingham is ice-cold in front of goal and 13% (more than double) of their shots on goal end up in the net!
Our betting tip for Cardiff City vs. Nottingham Forrest
Forrest has been the best team in the Championship since new manager Steve Cooper took over. Nottingham wants to get back into the EPL, the play-off places are already within reach. A defeat against Cardiff City is not something we can expect under the current circumstances. Therefore, we bet on a win for Nottingham Forrest with an Asian Handicap of 0 – that is, in the event of a draw, the stake is returned. Another worthwhile bet is on less than 3 goals. However, the odds are correspondingly low.
At Betway you can get excellent odds for this game, both for the Away side and the bet on Under 2.5.
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