This weekend, the 24th matchday in the Spanish La Liga is on the agenda. In the course of this, the match Villarreal vs. Real Madrid will take place on Saturday at 16:15. This means that the leaders will be visiting the sixth-placed team at the Estadio de la Cerámica, with the Yellow Submarine and the Blancos having picked up 53 and 35 points respectively. José Sánchez is in charge of this match.
Villarreal won six of their last eight championship games so far. The first loss of points in this period happened on 9 January with a home draw against fifth-placed Atlético Madrid. Another setback followed seven days later with a 0-1 defeat at Elche. Unai Emery’s team then returned to winning ways in their last appearance at home against RCD Mallorca. And on 6 February, Villarreal followed up with a 2-0 win at third-placed Betis Sevilla.
Real Madrid celebrated a 1-0 home win over fifth-placed Granada on the same day. This was the Blancos’ third win in five La Liga appearances. Moreover, Carlo Ancelotti’s team did not concede a goal for the first time after four league games. Here, the leaders experienced a 0-1 defeat at 15th-placed Getafe and a 2-2 at home against 14th-placed Elche. Now Real Madrid must continue to boost their self-confidence before the first leg of the Champions League round of sixteen at Paris Saint-Germain on Tuesday.
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What speaks for Villarreal?
- Won six of their last eight league games so far
- Played to nil in three of their last five league appearances
- Their opponents conceded at least one goal four times in a row in the championship between late December and late January
- Home advantage
What speaks for Real Madrid?
- Before their home win over Granada, they also equalised at home against Elche in the final phase a 0-2 deficit
- The greater quality in the squad
Our betting tip:
- Tip: Both teams score goals – Yes
- Bookmaker: 1xBet
- Odds: 1.68
Expert analysis Villarreal
Villarreal won 2-0 at third-placed Betis Sevilla on 6 February. Thus, the Yellow Submarine celebrated the sixth victory in eight championship games. However, the team coached by Unai Emery was lucky. At the score of 1-0, a penalty in favour of the home side was denied in the 69th minute. Afterwards, Étienne Capoue sealed the victory in the 83rd minute.
In a 2-2 in the so far penultimate home match against fifth-placed Atlético Madrid on 9 January, goals were scored by both teams for the third time in four league appearances of Villarreal. The only exception was a 5-0 win at home against last-placed regional rivals Levante.
Before that, the previous year ended with a 3-1 at seventh-placed Real Sociedad, who picked up the same number of points, and a 5-2 at home to penultimate-placed Deportivo Alavés. Afterwards, Villarreal suffered another damper with a 0-1 loss at another regional rival, 14th-placed Elche. However, the Yellow Submarine returned to winning ways in time for the international break with a 3-0 home win over fourth-bottom RCD Mallorca.
As things stand today, Emery will be without three players for the Villarreal vs Real Madrid match. These are attacker Gerard Moreno, defensive midfielder Francis Coquelin and right-back Rubén Peña. Moreover, another striker, Boulaye Dia, returns to team training after his triumph with Senegal at the Africa Cup on Friday.
Expert analysis Real Madrid
For the Blancos, the match between Villarreal and Real Madrid represents a general rehearsal ahead of the first leg of their Champions League round of sixteen with Paris Saint-Germain. In their first appearance after the international break, Carlo Ancelotti’s team celebrated a 1-0 home win against fifth-bottom Granada. Marco Asensio converted the dominance of the leaders into the leading goal in the 74th minute. Immediately afterwards, substitute Eden Hazard was denied a penalty.
This ended a run of four championship games in which Real Madrid always conceded at least one goal. Immediately before and after Christmas, the Blancos experienced a 2-1 at eighth-placed Athletic Bilbao and a 0-1 at 15th-placed Getafe.
This was followed firstly in La Liga, also in front of their own crowd, by a 4-1 win against eleventh-placed Valencia and, more notably, a 2-2 against 14th Elche. However, in the match against the Franjiverdes, the Blancos showed morale. Six minutes after the 0-2 Luka Modrić made good on a penalty in the 82nd minute and Éder Militão equalized in injury time.
With Karim Benzema and Mariano Díaz, two Real Madrid attackers are in doubt. The same applies to left-back Ferland Mendy. In contrast, the offensive player Vinícius Júnior, who was suspended against Granada, returns.
Head-to-head comparison Villarreal – Real Madrid
The first match between Villarreal and Real Madrid in La Liga 2021/2022 took place on 25 September and ended goalless. This broke a streak of six games between the Yellow Submarine and the Blancos in which both teams scored goals. In the 2020/2021 season, Villarreal experienced against Real Madrid a 1-1 home draw and a 1-2 away defeat.
Our betting tip and the best odds
Villarreal clearly have the better form curve and most recently won at third-placed Betis Sevilla, but Real Madrid are always good for a win. Therefore, we would abstain from three-way bets and bet on the fact that both teams will score goals.
Villarreal’s penultimate home game so far against Atlético Madrid ended 2-2, with both teams scoring for the third time in four league games played by the Yellow Submarine. After a 0-1 defeat in Elche, they beat RCD Mallorca 3-0, a result that cannot be regarded as a yardstick, and in the 2-0 defeat in Seville, the home side suffered a denied penalty.
Before the 1-0 home win against Granada, Real Madrid conceded goals four times in a row. This happened for example in a 0-1 away defeat against Getafe and a 2-2 home draw against Elche.
Villarreal vs. Real Madrid – betting tip: Both teams score goals – Yes, odds 1.68 at bookmaker 1xBet
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