Lille OSC vs AC Ajaccio – betting prediction, odds for the Ligue 1 match (29.04.2023, 17:00 CET)

Lille OSC vs AC Ajaccio – betting prediction, odds for the Ligue 1 match

In the coming days, France’s Ligue 1 will play the fixtures of the 33rd matchday. Here, the clash Lille OSC vs AC Ajaccio will take place on Saturday at 17:00. Thus, the fifth in the Ligue 1 table will receive the penultimate. The Dogues and the Orsi collected 56 and 22 points respectively.

What speaks for Lille OSC?

  • Won four of its last five championship home matches.

What speaks for AC Ajaccio?

  • Can only deliver a surprise.

Our betting prediction:

  • Prediction: Over 2.5 goals
  • Odds: 1.78

Expert analysis Lille OSC

Between late January and early February, Lille OSC experienced a 0-1 away defeat to the tenth-placed Nice and a 0-0 home draw against the ninth-ranked Clermont Foot. Then, Paulo Fonseca’s side got back on the winning track with a 3-1 at the sixth-placed Stade Rennes. In hindsight, it represented the first of three victories in four appearances in France’s Ligue 1.

Here, the only loss of points, a 3-4 away defeat to the leaders Paris Saint-Germain, was sandwiched between home wins over the 15th-placed Racing Strasbourg (2-0) and the fourth-last-ranked Stade Brest (2-0). Then, the previous month began with a 1-1 at the third-placed RC Lens and a 3-3 in front of their public against the seventh-ranked Olympique Lyonnaise. Immediately before and after the international break, a 2-0 at the twelfth-placed Toulouse and a 3-1 home win against the eleventh-ranked Lorient followed.

Therefore, a 0-1 away defeat of Lille OSC against the last-placed Angers SCO on 8 April was even more surprising. However, the Dogues immediately got back on the winning track with a 2-1 home win over the 13th-placed HSC Montpellier. This marked the fourth time in a row that in a home match of the Nordistes more than 2.5 goals were scored. Plus, Fonseca’s team always scored at least twice in their most recent five domestic matches. This was followed on Saturday by a 1-1 at the 14th-placed AJ Auxerre.

Expert analysis AC Ajaccio

A day later, AC Ajaccio drew 0-0 at home to Stade Brest. This snapped a run of six defeats for Olivier Pantaloni’s squad. After a 2-1 home win over the third-bottom ES Troyes on 26 February, the Orsi first lost 1-0 at the eighth-placed Stade Reims plus in front of their crowd against HSC Montpellier.

But in the following four league matches, the Corsican team always conceded at least two goals. Here, AC Ajaccio initially suffered a 0-2 domestic defeat against the fourth-placed AS Monaco and a 1-2 at Clermont Foot. Then, the penultimate-placed side lost 0-3 at home to AJ Auxerre and on 16 April 1-3 at Racing Strasbourg.

This constituted the sixth time in seven Ligue 1 away fixtures involving AC Ajaccio with more than 2.5 goals. First, the Orsi experienced a 1-7 away debacle against AS Monaco and a 2-1 at Angers. They then lost 0-3 at Nice and at Lorient. 

Head-to-head comparison Lille OSC – AC Ajaccio

On 26 August, the first clash AC Ajaccio vs Lille OSC after almost eight and a half years took place. Here, the Dogues won 3-1 in Corsica. Furthermore, it marked the fourth consecutive match between these teams, in which more than 2.5 goals were scored.

Our betting prediction and the best odds

In all the last four domestic championship matches of the home side in the Lille OSC vs AC Ajaccio fixture, more than 2.5 goals were scored. Here, the Dogues achieved exemplarily a 3-3 against the seventh-ranked Olympique Lyon and a 3-1 against the eleventh-placed Lorient. Plus, they always netted twice or more in all their most recent five Ligue 1 matches in front of their public. Moreover, in six of AC Ajaccio’s last seven away matches, more than 2.5 goals resulted. From mid-February, this event applied exemplarily to a 0-3 against Lorient and to a 1-3 against Racing Strasbourg on 16 April.

Lille OSC vs AC Ajaccio – betting prediction: Over 2.5 goals, odds 1.78

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Alice Kopp
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By Alice Kopp

Alice is half Austrian and half Italian. That's why she experienced the 1990 World Cup in Italy at first hand. And that awakened her enthusiasm for football. Since she has loved writing since childhood, Alice began to study journalism while still at school. It was very convenient for her that her class took part in a project of a German daily newspaper. She was also allowed to write for the children's pages of an Austrian daily newspaper and to get a taste of the sports department of the same medium. This is how she received her first press accreditations, which was of course anything but a matter of course for the then 18-year-old. Although she was partly advised against it, Alice decided to study journalism and communication sciences. After a few years, she decided to use the exams she had taken as an elective. Nevertheless, she applies the knowledge she has acquired in her further professional life. The same applies to her language skills. In addition to her mother tongues German and Italian, Alice is also proficient in English and Spanish. She also understands French and can use this language in research. During her studies, Alice was involved in an Austrian football club. At the same time, she wrote for a total of three Austrian portals and worked as an Austria correspondent for an Italian-language online medium. This collaboration started during Giovanni Trapattoni's era at Red Bull Salzburg and continued during EURO 2008. This gave her the opportunity to interact with Trapattoni as well as with Italian journalists. From the following year, Alice initially worked with a Swiss portal before discovering sports betting content for herself. On the one hand, this kept her in sports journalism, and on the other, it broadened her horizons. And that both in the context of the sports betting industry and with other sports as well as countries. In the field of sports journalism, she focused in particular on football from around the world, volleyball and beach volleyball. In addition, she naturally wrote several guides, bookmaker profiles, bonus articles and other content for betting enthusiasts. She did this for the same company for about ten years, writing articles in German and Italian. She also built the Italian-language website together with the managing director. Meanwhile, Alice started working with another Austrian football club. Furthermore, she joined the Association Internationale de la Presse Sportive (AIPS) in 2016. This gives her the opportunity to watch teams and athletes on the ground relatively often. Not only sports betting, but also radio In January 2019, the next step in her professional development followed. For: she started creating premium content on the topic of sports betting. In the process, she finally put out feelers to almost all countries and all continents. And this was not least due to the fact that both German and English-speaking users subscribed to her content. Nevertheless, Alice continued to use her knowledge of Italian, among other things. On the one hand, because she regularly exchanges ideas with Italian colleagues, and on the other, because she works with a web radio station. The Corona crisis had a strong impact on the sports world and on interest in sports betting, primarily in the early days. Therefore, a fresh start was necessary and, on balance, Alice found the fields of activity that suited her best. She also writes articles for an agency on almost all disciplines as well as on eSports and content for a German online medium. Alice is half Austrian and half Italian. That's why she experienced the 1990 World Cup in Italy at first hand. And that awakened her enthusiasm for football.