In the coming days, France’s Ligue 1 will play the fixtures of the 33rd matchday. Here, the clash Lille OSC vs AC Ajaccio will take place on Saturday at 17:00. Thus, the fifth in the Ligue 1 table will receive the penultimate. The Dogues and the Orsi collected 56 and 22 points respectively.
What speaks for Lille OSC?
- Won four of its last five championship home matches.
What speaks for AC Ajaccio?
- Can only deliver a surprise.
Our betting prediction:
- Prediction: Over 2.5 goals
- Odds: 1.78
Expert analysis Lille OSC
Between late January and early February, Lille OSC experienced a 0-1 away defeat to the tenth-placed Nice and a 0-0 home draw against the ninth-ranked Clermont Foot. Then, Paulo Fonseca’s side got back on the winning track with a 3-1 at the sixth-placed Stade Rennes. In hindsight, it represented the first of three victories in four appearances in France’s Ligue 1.
Here, the only loss of points, a 3-4 away defeat to the leaders Paris Saint-Germain, was sandwiched between home wins over the 15th-placed Racing Strasbourg (2-0) and the fourth-last-ranked Stade Brest (2-0). Then, the previous month began with a 1-1 at the third-placed RC Lens and a 3-3 in front of their public against the seventh-ranked Olympique Lyonnaise. Immediately before and after the international break, a 2-0 at the twelfth-placed Toulouse and a 3-1 home win against the eleventh-ranked Lorient followed.
Therefore, a 0-1 away defeat of Lille OSC against the last-placed Angers SCO on 8 April was even more surprising. However, the Dogues immediately got back on the winning track with a 2-1 home win over the 13th-placed HSC Montpellier. This marked the fourth time in a row that in a home match of the Nordistes more than 2.5 goals were scored. Plus, Fonseca’s team always scored at least twice in their most recent five domestic matches. This was followed on Saturday by a 1-1 at the 14th-placed AJ Auxerre.
Expert analysis AC Ajaccio
A day later, AC Ajaccio drew 0-0 at home to Stade Brest. This snapped a run of six defeats for Olivier Pantaloni’s squad. After a 2-1 home win over the third-bottom ES Troyes on 26 February, the Orsi first lost 1-0 at the eighth-placed Stade Reims plus in front of their crowd against HSC Montpellier.
But in the following four league matches, the Corsican team always conceded at least two goals. Here, AC Ajaccio initially suffered a 0-2 domestic defeat against the fourth-placed AS Monaco and a 1-2 at Clermont Foot. Then, the penultimate-placed side lost 0-3 at home to AJ Auxerre and on 16 April 1-3 at Racing Strasbourg.
This constituted the sixth time in seven Ligue 1 away fixtures involving AC Ajaccio with more than 2.5 goals. First, the Orsi experienced a 1-7 away debacle against AS Monaco and a 2-1 at Angers. They then lost 0-3 at Nice and at Lorient.
Head-to-head comparison Lille OSC – AC Ajaccio
On 26 August, the first clash AC Ajaccio vs Lille OSC after almost eight and a half years took place. Here, the Dogues won 3-1 in Corsica. Furthermore, it marked the fourth consecutive match between these teams, in which more than 2.5 goals were scored.
Our betting prediction and the best odds
In all the last four domestic championship matches of the home side in the Lille OSC vs AC Ajaccio fixture, more than 2.5 goals were scored. Here, the Dogues achieved exemplarily a 3-3 against the seventh-ranked Olympique Lyon and a 3-1 against the eleventh-placed Lorient. Plus, they always netted twice or more in all their most recent five Ligue 1 matches in front of their public. Moreover, in six of AC Ajaccio’s last seven away matches, more than 2.5 goals resulted. From mid-February, this event applied exemplarily to a 0-3 against Lorient and to a 1-3 against Racing Strasbourg on 16 April.
Lille OSC vs AC Ajaccio – betting prediction: Over 2.5 goals, odds 1.78
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