On Sunday at 20.45, the fixture Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain closes the 23rd matchday in the French Ligue 1. Thus, the dominant leaders face away the reigning champions, who occupy the eleventh position, at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy. The Great Danes and PSG picked up 32 and 53 points respectively. François Letexier is in charge of this match.
Lille OSC suffered a 0-2 away defeat to 13th-placed Stade Brest in their last championship match so far. This was the first time that Jocelyn Gourvennec’s side lost to Paris Saint-Germain since a 1-2 in their first clash at the end of October. Prior to that, the Great Danes picked up a draw at third-placed Olympique Marseille and a home win over second-bottom Lorient in their first two league appearances after the winter break.
For the visitors, this match comes a few days after their elimination in the Coupe de France. Second-placed OGC Nice won on penalties at the Parc des Princes. As both teams started with different starting line-ups, this match was not completely meaningful. However, Mauricio Pochettino’s side on 9 January experienced their third 1-1 away draw in a row at seventh-placed Olympique Lyon. After that, there were home wins against Stade Brest and 14th-placed Stade Reims.
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What speaks for Lille OSC?
- Won four out of six championship games before the defeat in Brest
- Unlike his opposite number Pochettino, coach Gourvennec can draw from the full squad
- Did not play in the Coupe de France this week and could therefore focus on this game
What speaks for Paris Saint-Germain?
- Clearly more quality in the squad
- Won three of their last five Ligue 1 matches so far
- The 2-1 home victory over the Great Danes at the end of October
Our betting tip:
- Bet: Both teams score goals – Yes
- Bookmaker: 1xBet
- Odds: 1.73
Expert analysis Lille OSC
Lille OSC lost 0-2 at 13th-placed Stade Brest in their last league game so far on 22 January. That ended a run of nine unbeaten Ligue 1 appearances for Jocelyn Gourvennec’s side. Moreover, the Great Danes had managed a 3-1 home win against Lorient three days earlier. The side from Brittany occupy penultimate place and are thus clearly inferior to PSG, but Lille OSC after half an hour already led 3-0.
Furthermore, the reigning champions drew 1-1 at third-placed Olympique Marseille in their first Ligue 1 game after the winter break. Sven Botman gave them the lead after a quarter of an hour, and the Great Danes defended it until the 75th minute. This was despite the fact that Benjamin André was shown the second yellow card before the break and consequently had to leave the pitch.
Before that, the previous year ended with a 0-0 home draw against seventh-placed Olympique Lyon and a 3-2 at fourth-last-placed Girondins Bordeaux. The match against the Gones was the only time between late October and mid-January in an appearance of Lille OSC that not both teams scored.
As things stand, Gourvennec can draw from the complete squad for the Lille OSC vs. PSG match. Right-back Jérémy Pied was absent for the away game against Stade Brest. Now he should be back at his coach’s disposal.
Expert analysis Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain lost at home to second-placed championship rivals OGC Nice on penalties in the Coupe de France on Monday. Earlier, at Parc des Princes, both normal time and extra time ended goalless.
Mauricio Pochettino decided to make changes to his starting eleven, so the match cannot be used completely as a yardstick. However, his side underachieved in their last three away league games.
After the only victories away from home since the end of September in Bordeaux (3-2) and at last-placed Saint-Étienne (3-1), there were three 1-1. Here, ninth-placed RC Lens, Lorient, and Olympique Lyon took points. On balance, both teams scored in all five of PSG’s Ligue 1 away matches since the beginning of November.
By contrast, the leaders always managed to play to nil at the Parc des Princes in December and January. After the winter break, Pochettino’s team in the championship so far celebrated a 2-0 against Stade Brest and a 4-0 against 14th-placed Stade Reims. Presumably, Paris Saint-Germain have harder tasks away from home because their opponents are particularly motivated in front of their home crowd and go up a gear.
Up to now, Pochettino will be without four players for the clash. Two of them, left-back Abdou Diallo and defensive midfielder Idrissa Gueye, will play in the final of the Africa Cup with Senegal on Sunday. There, right-back Achraf Hakimi was eliminated with Morocco in the quarter-finals last weekend. The injured Nathan Bitumazala is missing in the same position.
Head-to-head comparison Lille OSC – Paris Saint-Germain
This will be the third Lille OSC vs Paris Saint-Germain clash this season. The Great Danes prevailed 1-0 in the Trophée des Champions in Israel at the beginning of August. PSG then celebrated a 2-1 home win in their first Ligue 1 2021/2022 encounter on 29 October.
Our betting tip and the best odds
The bookmakers see the visitors as the relatively clear favourites, or at least they want to convince us of that. And of course, Paris Saint-Germain’s dominance and the squad at Pochettino’s disposal would suggest that at first glance.
However, the capital club is without a win for three championship away matches, with even penultimate-placed Lorient managing a 1-1 draw. Moreover, in all of PSG’s last five Ligue 1 away appearances so far, goals came from both teams. The same event occurred in ten of Lille OSC’s eleven championship games between late October and mid-January.
Lille OSC vs. Paris Saint-Germain – Betting tip: Both teams score goals – Yes, odds 1.73 at bookmaker 1xBet
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