This weekend, the matches of the 27th matchday take place in Ligue 1. The derby de la Mediterranée Olympique Marseille vs. AS Monaco on Sunday at 20.45 represents one of them. Here, the second and the ninth will meet at the Stade Orange Vélodrome. Until now, the Phocéens and ASM collected 47 and 38 points respectively. Antony Gautier will be in charge of the match.
Both teams will compete in the European Cup next Thursday. There, Olympique Marseille will host Basel in the Conference League. For Jorge Sampaoli’s team, things did not really go according to plan in the Ligue 1 in the previous month. In five league games, OM won only at home against 14th-placed SCO Angers (5-2) and at third-last-placed Metz (2-1). This was followed by a 0-2 home defeat against 15th-placed Clermont Foot and a 1-1 at fourth-placed ES Troyes on Sunday.
For AS Monaco, this fixture comes between their elimination from the Coupe de France at seventh-placed Nantes and a Europa League away fixture against Braga. Moreover, the team from the Principality travels to Marseille with a more disappointing record in the Ligue 1 than that of its opponents.
After all, in their last five league matches so far, Philippe Clement’s team only beat Olympique Lyon at home on 5 February (2-0). After the win against the tenth-placed team, which collected the same number of points, they initially drew. Here, the Monegasques experienced a 0-0 at home against fifth-last Lorient and a 1-1 at bottom-placed Girondins Bordeaux. This was followed by a 1-2 home defeat against 13th-placed Stade Reims on Sunday.
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What speaks for Olympique Marseille?
- Have a home match
- Has a slightly better record than its upcoming opponents
- ASM lost two of their last four away games in Ligue 1 and dropped points at the bottom of the table
- Did not play in the Coupe de France this week and focused exclusively on this fixture
What speaks for AS Monaco?
- Their opponents lost to Clermont Foot in their most recent home match
- OM squandered a 90th-minute lead at fourth-bottom ES Troyes
Our betting tip:
- Bet: Under 2.5 goals
- Bookmaker: 1xBet
- Odds: 1.98
Expert analysis Olympique Marseille
For the home side, the derby de la Mediterranée Olympique Marseille vs. AS Monaco represents the general rehearsal before the first leg of the Conference League round of sixteen against Basel. Jorge Sampaoli’s side were drawn against the Swiss side after two victories over Qarabağ Ağdam of Azerbaijan. More specifically, OM won 3-1 at home and 3-0 away.
In the Ligue 1, after a 2-0 win at sixth-placed RC Lens at the end of January, Olympique Marseille beat only teams from the second half of the table. For the Phocéens, the previous month began with a 1-2 at tenth-placed Olympique Lyon. Here, the arch-rivals turned around an early deficit thanks to a double strike in the final phase.
Three days later, Sampaoli’s team crushed SCO Angers 5-2 at the Stade Orange Vélodrome. Here, 14th led 2-0 after eleven minutes. OM equalized within a few minutes, and other three goals followed from the 70th minute onwards. Arkadiusz Milik, who scored three times in this match, brought two of them. Nine days later, Milik scored the winning goal in the 82nd minute in a 2-1 win at third-last Metz.
That positive streak ended on 20 February with a 0-2 home defeat to 15th-placed Clermont Foot. Olympique Marseille then had to settle for a 1-1 at fourth-last-placed ES Troyes on Sunday. The underperforming second-placed team conceded the goal in the 90th minute. However, from today’s perspective, Sampaoli can draw from the whole squad for the match Olympique Marseille vs. AS Monaco.
Expert analysis AS Monaco
Moreover, AS Monaco’s even more disappointing record represents good news for the Argentine. After all, in their five most recent Ligue 1 appearances, the team from the Principality experienced two defeats and just as many draws. In between, the only victory came on 5 February with a 2-0 home win over Olympique Lyon.
Immediately before and thereafter, the visitors saw a 2-3 defeat at eleventh-placed HSC Montpellier and a 0-0 home draw with fifth-bottom Lorient. Clement’s side then dropped points in their last away game in the championship so far at last-placed Girondins Bordeaux.
The team from the principality equalized in the 67th minute with the help of an own goal. However, AS Monaco played with a man less after Aurélien Tchouaméni was sent off in the 34th minute. Regardless, they remained winless in a championship away match for the fourth time, with a 1-1 draw at the last-placed team equalling their third defeat in the series.
Consequently, Tchouaméni had to see from the stands a 1-2 home defeat to 13th-placed Stade Reims on 27 February. Wissam Ben Yedder put AS Monaco ahead in the 55th minute, but Kevin Volland gave them the equalizer with an own goal in the 84th minute. The visitors’ second goal came in the 93rd minute and a few minutes after a yellow card against Jean Lucas. Thus, for the second time in a row, a Monégasque player weakened his team. Moreover, it ended a streak of three championship games of Clement’s team in which less than 2.5 goals were scored.
The next setback followed on Wednesday. AS Monaco were beaten on penalties by seventh-placed Nantes in the Coupe de France. On Thursday, the team from the principality will have an away match against Sporting Braga in the last sixteen of the Europa League. This will be their first international appearance of the year. For the Olympique Marseille vs. AS Monaco match, Clement will be without the injured attacking player Krépin Diatta.
Head-to-head comparison Olympique Marseille – AS Monaco
Olympique Marseille celebrated a 2-0 away win in the first Derby de la Mediterranée against AS Monaco in Ligue 1 2021/2022. In contrast, both duels last season ended with home victories. Olympique Marseille experienced against AS Monaco a 2-1 home win and a 1-3 away defeat.
Our betting tip and the best odds
Considering the recent results of Olympique Marseille and AS Monaco, we recommend against three-way bets. Instead, we expect that less than 2.5 goals will be scored. OM last experienced a 0-2 against Clermont Foot and a 1-1 in Troyes. Furthermore, AS Monaco conceded in the 93rd minute their second goal in their 1-2 home defeat against Stade Reims. Before this, two or fewer goals were scored in three matches involving the side from the Principality.
Olympique Marseille vs. AS Monaco – betting tip: Under 2.5 goals, odds 1.98 with the bookmaker 1xBet
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