At the end of the 23rd matchday in the Italian Serie A, the classic AC Milan vs. Juventus takes place on Sunday evening. The second-placed team meets the fifth-placed side at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, with the Devil and the Old Lady taking 48 and 41 points respectively.
For the home side, with Stefano Pioli on the sidelines, this game comes after a controversial home defeat to 15th-placed Spezia on Monday. The Ligurians scored the winning goal in the 96th minute, but immediately before that, there was a glaring decision against AC Milan. This snapped a run of three wins in the championship.
Two days later, Juventus beat the fifth-last team in Serie A, Sampdoria, at home in the Coppa Italia round of sixteen. This was the third victory in four competitive matches against teams from the highest division.
Massimiliano Allegri’s team lost to Inter Milan in the Italian Super Cup at the same venue the previous week. The Bianconeri were beaten by their arch-rivals after extra time. They then managed to get back on the winning track at home against 14th-placed Udinese. Daniele Orsato is in charge of this top match.
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What speaks for AC Milan?
- Plays a home game
- Missed the fourth championship win in a row against Spezia by a whisker
- Scored at least three goals in each of his three league appearances between the end of December and the beginning of January
What speaks for Juventus?
- Unbeaten in eight league games with six wins and two draws
- Won the most recent two Serie A matches in a row
- Fewer players are out than at their opponents
Our betting tip:
- Bet: Both teams score goals
- Bookmaker: Betway
- Odds: 1.72
Expert analysis AC Milan
For AC Milan, it is the second championship home match within a few days. Stefano Pioli’s team faced Spezia at home on Monday. The Rossoneri were beaten 2-1 by the 15th placed team after an incredible final phase.
After a lead through Rafael Leão in the 45th minute, the Ligurians turned the game around. Kevin Agudelo equalized, and Emmanuel Gyasi completed the catch-up in the 96th minute. But a few moments before, referee Marco Serra completely forgot the advantage rule for an attack by Junior Messias.
This broke a streak of three straight Serie A victories for the Rossoneri ahead of the classic AC Milan vs. Juventus. Strictly speaking, this winning streak began after a 0-1 home defeat against third-placed Napoli. And in the appearance against the team from the city at the feet of Vesuvius, the Rossoneri were also deprived of at least one point. Franck Kessié, who reached the round of sixteen at the Africa Cup with Côte d’Ivoire, was denied a valid goal.
Afterwards, initially a 4-2 at eleventh-placed Empoli, a 3-1 home win against seventh-placed AS Roma and a 3-0 at fourth-last-placed Venezia followed. The latter match was also the only one in AC Milan’s five most recent competitive matches in which goals were not scored by both teams. This event also coincided with last week’s 3-1 home win after extra time against second-bottom Genoa in the Coppa Italia.
In addition to Kessié, another player, Senegal’s Fodé Ballo-Touré, is participating in the AFCON. Moreover, Pioli must do for the top match without, among others, Fikayo Tomori, Pietro Pellegri and Simon Kjær. The Danish team captain will definitely be out until the end of the season. On the other hand, Sandro Tonali and Alessio Romagnoli are available again after a suspension and a COVID-19 infection respectively.
Expert analysis Juventus
Juventus competed in the round of sixteen of the Coppa Italia this week and celebrated a 4-1 home win over fifth-bottom Sampdoria on Tuesday. In this competition, the starting line-ups are usually extremely diverse, and therefore the games cannot be taken as unconditional yardsticks.
However, the Old Lady managed the seventh victory in ten matches against league rivals. The third exception happened on 12 January, also at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza. Massimiliano Allegri’s team was defeated in the Super Cup by leaders and arch-rivals Inter Milan after a 1-1 draw in extra time. The home side scored the winning goal in the final minute.
Juventus responded immediately to this setback, beating 14th-placed Udinese 2-0 at home on 15 January. It was the first time the fifth-placed team played to nil after the Christmas break. After all, the year had begun for the Bianconeri with a 1-1 home draw against Napoli and a 4-3 at AS Roma. In total, both teams scored in four of Juventus’ last five competitive matches so far.
Unlike their upcoming opponents AC Milan, Juventus do not have any players under contract who are participating in the Africa Cup. Allegri must do exclusively without Federico Chiesa, who is out for months, and Leonardo Bonucci, who is injured too. On the other hand, Aaron Ramsey returns to the team after overcoming a COVID-19 infection.
Head-to-head comparison AC Milan – Juventus
The first encounter between AC Milan and Juventus in Serie A 2021/2022 took place on 19 September and ended in a 1-1 draw. Before that, both clashes last season resulted in away victories. On that occasion, AC Milan vs. Juventus experienced a 1-3 home defeat and a 3-0 away win.
Our betting tip and the best odds
In the AC Milan vs. Juventus clash, two teams who are on an equal footing compete against each other. This is also reflected in the odds for three-way bets. As a result, those on the 1, the X and the 2 are more attractive, but we would not take that risk.
Instead, before the AC Milan vs. Juventus match, we suggest you wagers on the fact that both teams will score goals. This event applied to four of the Devil’s last five competitive games so far and opponents ranked in the second half of the table managed to do so. The same coincides with four of the Old Lady’s most recent five appearances.
AC Milan vs. Juventus – betting tip: Both teams score, odds 1.72 at bookmaker Betway