In the coming days, Italy’s Serie A will play the fixtures of the 34th matchday. Here, the classic AS Roma vs Inter Milan will take place on Saturday at 18:00. Thus, the sixth-placed team in the Serie A table will receive the fourth-placed one. The Giallorossi and the Nerazzurri collected 58 and 60 points respectively.
What speaks for AS Roma?
- Exemplary won five of its six championship matches from early February to mid-April.
What speaks for Inter Milan?
- Left the pitch victorious after all their last three league appearances.
Our betting prediction:
- Prediction: Under 2.5 goals
- Odds: 1.70
Expert analysis AS Roma
For AS Roma, January ended with a 1-2 away defeat against the leaders SSC Napoli. Thereafter, José Mourinho’s side in February first experienced a 2-0 home win against 15th-placed Empoli, a 1-1 at the fifth-bottom Lecce and a 1-0 at the Stadio Olimpico against the fourth-bottom Hellas Verona.
Although the Giallorossi didn’t convince in those Serie A fixtures, a 1-2 away defeat to the penultimate-placed Cremonese on 28 February represented a considerable surprise. In hindsight, it marked the first of three defeats of AS Roma within four league matches. However, the team from the capital started March with a 1-0 win in another classic against the third-placed Juventus. Then, the Giallorossi went into the international break with a 3-4 in front of their fans against the twelfth-placed Sassuolo and a 0-1 in the city derby at the second-placed Lazio Rome.
Afterwards, Mourinho’s side boosted their confidence thanks to three wins against as many opponents who rank below the first third of the Serie A table. AS Roma celebrated two 3-0 home victories against the bottom-side Sampdoria and against 13th-placed Udinese, and in between a 1-0 at the ninth-ranked Torino FC. However, Sampdoria and Udinese conceded 13 and nine goals respectively from the 28th to the 32nd round.
That streak snapped with a 1-3 away defeat to the fifth-placed Atalanta. But most recently, Mourinho’s squad drew 1-1 against the sixth-placed AC Milan in their latest home fixture and then at the eleventh-placed Monza on Wednesday.
Expert analysis Inter Milan
Inter Milan play their final rehearsal before the first leg of their UEFA Champions League semi-final against AC Milan. Simone Inzaghi’s side began February with a 1-0 home win over their city rivals and a 0-0 at Sampdoria. Then, the Nerazzurri initially recorded a 3-1 domestic win over Udinese and a 0-1 at the tenth-placed Bologna.
Retrospectively, it represented the first of five defeats in seven Serie A fixtures. Additionally, six of Inter Milan’s championship appearances during that period ended with less than 2.5 goals. The exception, a 1-2 away defeat to the third-last-placed Spezia on 10 March, was sandwiched between a 2-0 home win over Lecce and a 0-1 home defeat to Juventus. Unlike their opponents in the AS Roma vs Inter Milan clash, Inzaghi’s side didn’t immediately return to the winning track after the international break.
Because: The Nerazzurri initially recorded 0-1 home defeats against the eighth-placed Fiorentina and against Monza, with a 1-1 at the 14th-placed Salernitana in between. That crisis ended on 23 April with a 3-0 at the 15th-placed Empoli. It marked the second of five Serie A away fixtures of Inter Milan with more than 2,5 goals.
Plus, the Nerazzurri netted more often than they did in their previous four league away matches from mid-February onwards. Moreover, in the 3-1 home win over Lazio on 30 April, their goals arrived from the 77th minute onwards. For this reason, we wouldn’t consider the 6-0 victory at Hellas Verona on Wednesday as a yardstick.
Head-to-head comparison AS Roma – Inter Milan
The first classic Inter Milan vs AS Roma in Serie A 2022/2023 took place on 1 October. Here, the team from the capital celebrated a 2-1 away victory. Previously, the Giallorossi lost all three competitive matches against the Nerazzurri in the last season with 0-3, in the Coppa Italia with 0-2 and on 23 April with 1-3.
Our betting prediction and the best odds
Nine of the 15 championship matches played by the hosts in the AS Roma vs Inter Milan classic from mid-January to the end of April saw fewer than 2.5 goals scored. The most recent exceptions in home matches happened against teams with an undoubtedly weaker defence. Because: Sampdoria and Udinese conceded respectively 13 and nine goals from the 28th to the 32nd round. Conversely, three of the four Serie A away matches involving the visitors from mid-February to early April ended with less than three goals. The same occurrence applied exemplarily to seven of their eight championship matches from late February to mid-April.
AS Roma vs Inter Milan – betting prediction: Under 2.5 goals, odds 1.70
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