AS Roma vs Inter Milan – betting prediction, odds for the Serie A match (06.05.2023, 18:00 CET)

AS Roma vs Inter Milan – betting prediction, odds for the Serie A match
AS Roma vs Inter Milan – betting prediction, odds for the Serie A match

In the coming days, Italy’s Serie A will play the fixtures of the 34th matchday. Here, the classic AS Roma vs Inter Milan will take place on Saturday at 18:00. Thus, the sixth-placed team in the Serie A table will receive the fourth-placed one. The Giallorossi and the Nerazzurri collected 58 and 60 points respectively.

What speaks for AS Roma?

  • Exemplary won five of its six championship matches from early February to mid-April.

What speaks for Inter Milan?

  • Left the pitch victorious after all their last three league appearances.

Our betting prediction:

  • Prediction: Under 2.5 goals
  • Odds: 1.70

Expert analysis AS Roma

For AS Roma, January ended with a 1-2 away defeat against the leaders SSC Napoli. Thereafter, José Mourinho’s side in February first experienced a 2-0 home win against 15th-placed Empoli, a 1-1 at the fifth-bottom Lecce and a 1-0 at the Stadio Olimpico against the fourth-bottom Hellas Verona.

Although the Giallorossi didn’t convince in those Serie A fixtures, a 1-2 away defeat to the penultimate-placed Cremonese on 28 February represented a considerable surprise. In hindsight, it marked the first of three defeats of AS Roma within four league matches. However, the team from the capital started March with a 1-0 win in another classic against the third-placed Juventus. Then, the Giallorossi went into the international break with a 3-4 in front of their fans against the twelfth-placed Sassuolo and a 0-1 in the city derby at the second-placed Lazio Rome.

Afterwards, Mourinho’s side boosted their confidence thanks to three wins against as many opponents who rank below the first third of the Serie A table. AS Roma celebrated two 3-0 home victories against the bottom-side Sampdoria and against 13th-placed Udinese, and in between a 1-0 at the ninth-ranked Torino FC. However, Sampdoria and Udinese conceded 13 and nine goals respectively from the 28th to the 32nd round.

That streak snapped with a 1-3 away defeat to the fifth-placed Atalanta. But most recently, Mourinho’s squad drew 1-1 against the sixth-placed AC Milan in their latest home fixture and then at the eleventh-placed Monza on Wednesday.

Expert analysis Inter Milan

Inter Milan play their final rehearsal before the first leg of their UEFA Champions League semi-final against AC Milan. Simone Inzaghi’s side began February with a 1-0 home win over their city rivals and a 0-0 at Sampdoria. Then, the Nerazzurri initially recorded a 3-1 domestic win over Udinese and a 0-1 at the tenth-placed Bologna.

Retrospectively, it represented the first of five defeats in seven Serie A fixtures. Additionally, six of Inter Milan’s championship appearances during that period ended with less than 2.5 goals. The exception, a 1-2 away defeat to the third-last-placed Spezia on 10 March, was sandwiched between a 2-0 home win over Lecce and a 0-1 home defeat to Juventus. Unlike their opponents in the AS Roma vs Inter Milan clash, Inzaghi’s side didn’t immediately return to the winning track after the international break.

Because: The Nerazzurri initially recorded 0-1 home defeats against the eighth-placed Fiorentina and against Monza, with a 1-1 at the 14th-placed Salernitana in between. That crisis ended on 23 April with a 3-0 at the 15th-placed Empoli. It marked the second of five Serie A away fixtures of Inter Milan with more than 2,5 goals.

Plus, the Nerazzurri netted more often than they did in their previous four league away matches from mid-February onwards. Moreover, in the 3-1 home win over Lazio on 30 April, their goals arrived from the 77th minute onwards. For this reason, we wouldn’t consider the 6-0 victory at Hellas Verona on Wednesday as a yardstick.

Head-to-head comparison AS Roma – Inter Milan

The first classic Inter Milan vs AS Roma in Serie A 2022/2023 took place on 1 October. Here, the team from the capital celebrated a 2-1 away victory. Previously, the Giallorossi lost all three competitive matches against the Nerazzurri in the last season with 0-3, in the Coppa Italia with 0-2 and on 23 April with 1-3.

Our betting prediction and the best odds

Nine of the 15 championship matches played by the hosts in the AS Roma vs Inter Milan classic from mid-January to the end of April saw fewer than 2.5 goals scored. The most recent exceptions in home matches happened against teams with an undoubtedly weaker defence. Because: Sampdoria and Udinese conceded respectively 13 and nine goals from the 28th to the 32nd round. Conversely, three of the four Serie A away matches involving the visitors from mid-February to early April ended with less than three goals. The same occurrence applied exemplarily to seven of their eight championship matches from late February to mid-April.

AS Roma vs Inter Milan – betting prediction: Under 2.5 goals, odds 1.70

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Alice Kopp
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By Alice Kopp

Alice is half Austrian and half Italian. That's why she experienced the 1990 World Cup in Italy at first hand. And that awakened her enthusiasm for football. Since she has loved writing since childhood, Alice began to study journalism while still at school. It was very convenient for her that her class took part in a project of a German daily newspaper. She was also allowed to write for the children's pages of an Austrian daily newspaper and to get a taste of the sports department of the same medium. This is how she received her first press accreditations, which was of course anything but a matter of course for the then 18-year-old. Although she was partly advised against it, Alice decided to study journalism and communication sciences. After a few years, she decided to use the exams she had taken as an elective. Nevertheless, she applies the knowledge she has acquired in her further professional life. The same applies to her language skills. In addition to her mother tongues German and Italian, Alice is also proficient in English and Spanish. She also understands French and can use this language in research. During her studies, Alice was involved in an Austrian football club. At the same time, she wrote for a total of three Austrian portals and worked as an Austria correspondent for an Italian-language online medium. This collaboration started during Giovanni Trapattoni's era at Red Bull Salzburg and continued during EURO 2008. This gave her the opportunity to interact with Trapattoni as well as with Italian journalists. From the following year, Alice initially worked with a Swiss portal before discovering sports betting content for herself. On the one hand, this kept her in sports journalism, and on the other, it broadened her horizons. And that both in the context of the sports betting industry and with other sports as well as countries. In the field of sports journalism, she focused in particular on football from around the world, volleyball and beach volleyball. In addition, she naturally wrote several guides, bookmaker profiles, bonus articles and other content for betting enthusiasts. She did this for the same company for about ten years, writing articles in German and Italian. She also built the Italian-language website together with the managing director. Meanwhile, Alice started working with another Austrian football club. Furthermore, she joined the Association Internationale de la Presse Sportive (AIPS) in 2016. This gives her the opportunity to watch teams and athletes on the ground relatively often. Not only sports betting, but also radio In January 2019, the next step in her professional development followed. For: she started creating premium content on the topic of sports betting. In the process, she finally put out feelers to almost all countries and all continents. And this was not least due to the fact that both German and English-speaking users subscribed to her content. Nevertheless, Alice continued to use her knowledge of Italian, among other things. On the one hand, because she regularly exchanges ideas with Italian colleagues, and on the other, because she works with a web radio station. The Corona crisis had a strong impact on the sports world and on interest in sports betting, primarily in the early days. Therefore, a fresh start was necessary and, on balance, Alice found the fields of activity that suited her best. She also writes articles for an agency on almost all disciplines as well as on eSports and content for a German online medium. Alice is half Austrian and half Italian. That's why she experienced the 1990 World Cup in Italy at first hand. And that awakened her enthusiasm for football.