In the coming weekend, the fixtures of the eleventh matchday in Italy’s Serie A will take place. Here, the classic AS Roma vs. Napoli will be played on Sunday at 20:45. Thus, the leaders will visit the fourth-placed team. The capital club and the team from the city at the feet of Vesuvius collected 22 and 26 points respectively.
What speaks for AS Roma?
- Playing in front of their home crowd
What speaks for Napoli?
- Won all last six championship matches
Our betting prediction:
- Prediction: Over 2.5 goals
- Odds: 1.94
Expert analysis AS Roma
For the home side in the AS Roma vs Napoli clash, September began with a 0-4 at sixth-placed Udinese. Thereafter, José Mourinho’s side won four of their last six Serie A appearances. The exception, a 0-1 home defeat to second-placed Atalanta, occurred between two 2-1 at tenth-placed Empoli and at seventh-placed Inter Milan.
Then, the capital club prevailed at home against fifth-bottom Lecce with the same result. Including a 3-0 home win over the then point-less Monza at the end of August, for the fifth time in six AS Roma championship matches more than 2.5 goals were scored. On Sunday, a 1-0 at last-placed Sampdoria followed.
Expert analysis Napoli
Napoli threaded their sixth win in Italy’s Serie A on Saturday with a 3-2 in front of their crowd against fourth-last-placed Bologna. Here, the leaders, who are coached by Luciano Spalletti, scored more than 2.5 goals for the third time in a row in a league appearance.
Moreover, since the beginning of the previous month, only in one league match of the Light Blues less than 2.5 goals were scored. This occurred in a 1-0 domestic win over 15th-placed Spezia on 10 September. Immediately before and thereafter, the team from the city at the feet of Vesuvius won 2-1 at fifth-placed Lazio and at third-placed AC Milan. Then, in the first half of October, they managed a 3-1 home win against eleventh-placed FC Torino and a 4-1 at penultimate-placed Cremonese.
Head-to-head comparison AS Roma – Napoli
The 2021/2022 Serie A classics AS Roma – Napoli ended in draws. José Mourinho’s side recorded against those of Luciano Spalletti a 0-0 at home and a 1-1 away. Previously, the team from the city at the feet of Vesuvius celebrated in the 2020/2021 season a 4-0 home win and a 2-0 in the capital.
Our betting prediction and the best odds
From the fourth to the ninth matchday, five of the six appearances of the home side in the AS Roma vs. Napoli classic saw more than 2.5 goals. The same occurred in five of the last six matches of the leaders in the Serie A table.
Here, the team from the city at the feet of Vesuvius most recently netted more than 2.5 times three times in a row. They achieved this against teams that are significantly inferior to the capital club. However, Napoli didn’t manage clean sheets against FC Torino, at Cremonese and against Bologna. Thus, we can use in particular the 3-2 on Saturday as a yardstick for the away match against AS Roma.
AS Roma vs. Napoli – betting prediction: Over 2.5 goals, odds 1.85
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