Inter Milan vs. AC Milan – betting prediction, odds for the Serie A match (05.02.2023, 20:45 CET)

Inter Milan vs. AC Milan – betting prediction, odds for the Serie A match
Inter Milan vs. AC Milan – betting prediction, odds for the Serie A match

In Italy’s Serie A, the fixtures of the 21st round will be played in the coming days. Here, the derby Inter Milan vs. AC Milan will take place on Sunday at 20:45. Thus, the second in the Serie A table will receive the fifth. The Nerazzurri and the Rossoneri took 40 and 38 points respectively.

What speaks for Inter Milan?

  • Prevailed 3-0 over their city rivals in the Italian Super Cup in mid-January.
  • Won five of their last seven league matches.

What speaks for AC Milan?

  • Didn’t play in the quarter-finals of the Coppa Italia and could therefore focus on the derby.

Our betting prediction:

  • Prediction: Over 2.5 goals
  • Odds: 1.89

Expert analysis Inter Milan

For Inter Milan, the derby against AC Milan comes four days after a 1-0 home win against the fourth in the Serie A table and regional rivals, Atalanta, in the quarter-finals of the Coppa Italia. Conversely, in 14 of the 20 championship games involving Simone Inzaghi’s side so far, more than 2.5 goals were scored.

In November, for example, the Nerazzurri won 6-1 at home to the ninth-placed Bologna and 3-2 at Atalanta before the break. After the World Cup, the Serie A returned on 4 January. Here, Inter Milan inflicted, with a 1-0 in front of their home crowd, the leaders Napoli their first defeat in the Serie A 2022/2023. However, the visitors failed to convert a 64% possession. On the other hand, the Nerazzurri missed two further big chances.

But three days later, the second-placed team experienced a setback at another regional rival, Monza. Because: The eleventh-ranked team equalized in the injury time thanks to an own goal to a 2-2. But Inter Milan immediately got back on the winning track with a 1-0 at home over the third-bottom Hellas Verona and took the momentum into the Super Cup. Because: Inzaghi’s squad defeated AC Milan 3-0 in the Saudi Arabian capital Riyadh.

Initially, a 0-1 humiliation at home against the tenth-placed Empoli followed. Furthermore, the bottom-ranked regional rivals Cremonese took an early lead on Saturday. Lautaro Martínez turned the match around with a brace and led Inter Milan to a 2-1 away win.

Expert analysis AC Milan

Moreover, in 14 of AC Milan’s most recent 16 Serie A matches, more than 2.5 goals were scored. The second exception occurred on 8 November with a 0-0 at Cremonese. Immediately before and thereafter, Stefano Pioli’s team beat at home the fourth-last-placed Spezia and the twelfth-ranked Fiorentina by 2-1.

Then, the champions achieved the same result on their return from the break at 14th-placed Salernitana. Afterwards, everything went downhill for the Rossoneri. Here, AC Milan first experienced two 2-2 at home to the sixth-placed AS Roma and at the 15th-placed Lecce. Next, the Diavolo lost three times in a row.

Before and after the 0-3 in the Super Cup, Pioli’s team suffered a 0-4 at the third-ranked Lazio Roma and on Sunday a 2-5 home debacle against the 16th-placed Sassuolo. Here, the Rossoneri conceded for the fifth time in a row at least two goals. Moreover, their opponents netted a total of twelve times in their last three games.

Head-to-head comparison Inter Milan – AC Milan

In the first two derbies against AC Milan in the 2022/2023 season, Inter Milan experienced a 2-3 away defeat in the Serie A and the 3-0 in the Super Cup. As such, more than 2.5 goals were scored in both encounters. The same event occurred in two of the four matches last season. Because: Inter Milan and AC Milan clashed twice in the league and just as often in the semi-finals of the Coppa Italia.

Our betting prediction and the best odds

More than 2.5 goals resulted in the previous two Inter Milan vs. AC Milan derbies in this season. Furthermore, this event occurred in 14 of the hosts’ 20 championship matches so far. In January, the Nerazzurri recorded a 2-2 at the eleventh-placed Monza and a 2-1 at the last-ranked Cremonese. Plus, more than 2.5 goals resulted in all the visitors’ last five Serie A appearances. However, the Rossoneri conceded a minimum of two goals in all their most recent five matches. Moreover, Pioli’s side, starting with the 0-3 in the Super Cup, allowed 12 goals in three games.

Inter Milan vs. AC Milan – betting prediction: Over 2.5 goals, odds 1.89

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Alice Kopp
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By Alice Kopp

Alice is half Austrian and half Italian. That's why she experienced the 1990 World Cup in Italy at first hand. And that awakened her enthusiasm for football. Since she has loved writing since childhood, Alice began to study journalism while still at school. It was very convenient for her that her class took part in a project of a German daily newspaper. She was also allowed to write for the children's pages of an Austrian daily newspaper and to get a taste of the sports department of the same medium. This is how she received her first press accreditations, which was of course anything but a matter of course for the then 18-year-old. Although she was partly advised against it, Alice decided to study journalism and communication sciences. After a few years, she decided to use the exams she had taken as an elective. Nevertheless, she applies the knowledge she has acquired in her further professional life. The same applies to her language skills. In addition to her mother tongues German and Italian, Alice is also proficient in English and Spanish. She also understands French and can use this language in research. During her studies, Alice was involved in an Austrian football club. At the same time, she wrote for a total of three Austrian portals and worked as an Austria correspondent for an Italian-language online medium. This collaboration started during Giovanni Trapattoni's era at Red Bull Salzburg and continued during EURO 2008. This gave her the opportunity to interact with Trapattoni as well as with Italian journalists. From the following year, Alice initially worked with a Swiss portal before discovering sports betting content for herself. On the one hand, this kept her in sports journalism, and on the other, it broadened her horizons. And that both in the context of the sports betting industry and with other sports as well as countries. In the field of sports journalism, she focused in particular on football from around the world, volleyball and beach volleyball. In addition, she naturally wrote several guides, bookmaker profiles, bonus articles and other content for betting enthusiasts. She did this for the same company for about ten years, writing articles in German and Italian. She also built the Italian-language website together with the managing director. Meanwhile, Alice started working with another Austrian football club. Furthermore, she joined the Association Internationale de la Presse Sportive (AIPS) in 2016. This gives her the opportunity to watch teams and athletes on the ground relatively often. Not only sports betting, but also radio In January 2019, the next step in her professional development followed. For: she started creating premium content on the topic of sports betting. In the process, she finally put out feelers to almost all countries and all continents. And this was not least due to the fact that both German and English-speaking users subscribed to her content. Nevertheless, Alice continued to use her knowledge of Italian, among other things. On the one hand, because she regularly exchanges ideas with Italian colleagues, and on the other, because she works with a web radio station. The Corona crisis had a strong impact on the sports world and on interest in sports betting, primarily in the early days. Therefore, a fresh start was necessary and, on balance, Alice found the fields of activity that suited her best. She also writes articles for an agency on almost all disciplines as well as on eSports and content for a German online medium. Alice is half Austrian and half Italian. That's why she experienced the 1990 World Cup in Italy at first hand. And that awakened her enthusiasm for football.