This weekend, the 31st matchday in the Italian Serie A will take place. Here, the Derby d’Italia Juventus vs. Inter Milan on Sunday at 20:45 represents the absolute top match. Because: The fourth-placed team will face in front of its own crowd the third-placed one, with the arch-rivals taking 59 and 60 points respectively. However, the guests played one game less. Massimiliano Irrati will be in charge of the classic match at the Allianz Stadium.
Before the Juventus vs. Inter Milan encounter, the two rivals have two wholly different records. The team coached by Massimiliano Allegri, who have been unbeaten in Serie A since the beginning of December, in the championship most recently threaded four victories. Here, the Bianconeri prevailed at Empoli (3-2), at home against Spezia (1-0), at Sampdoria (3-1) and on 20 March at home against Salernitana (2-0). The Old Lady played against teams in the second half of the table, but it certainly gave them self-confidence.
Inter Milan can only dream of this at the moment. After all, Simone Inzaghi’s team from the beginning of February won only one of its last Serie A appearances. A 5-0 home win against last-placed Salernitana on 4 March came between four draws and after two defeats. Moreover, the victory arrived between a 0-0 at third-last Genoa and a 1-1 at eleventh-placed FC Torino. Thereafter, there was a 1-1 home draw against eighth-placed Fiorentina on 19 March.
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What speaks for Juventus?
- Plays a home game
- Won all of their last four championship matches
- Opponents have won only one of their last Serie A appearances so far
What speaks for Inter Milan?
- The Old Lady has five players out
- Inzaghi may be able to draw on the full squad
- Lautaro Martínez didn’t play in the South American World Cup qualifiers due to a COVID-19 infection and is available to his team
Our betting prediction:
- Bet: Under 2.5 goals
- Bookmaker: 1xBet
- Odds: 1.90
Expert analysis Juventus
Juventus made headlines in mid-March with a 0-3 home defeat to Villarreal in their second leg of the Champions League last sixteen. The other side of the coin is that the Old Lady, after a 0-1 home defeat to fifth-placed Atalanta, is unbeaten in the championship since the beginning of December. This included eleven victories and five draws for Massimiliano Allegri’s side.
Moreover, the hosts in the Juventus vs. Inter Milan Derby d’Italia won five of their last seven league appearances. On top of that, their last two losses by point so far happened in mid-February, with two 1-1 at Atalanta and in the home derby against eleventh-placed FC Torino. Thereafter, the Bianconeri won four Serie A matches in a row. Two of those victories arrived at home against Spezia (1-0) and on 20 March against Salernitana (2-0). In addition, there were successes at Empoli (3-2) and at Sampdoria (3-1).
Thus, Juventus most recently only competed against teams ranked in the second half of the table. Nevertheless, Allegri’s team managed to build up self-confidence. Moreover, in 16 of the Bianconeri’s last 19 Serie A matches so far, less than 2.5 goals were scored. And before the matches at Empoli and Sampdoria, this didn’t apply only to a crazy 4-3 at sixth-placed AS Roma.
Allegri will be without five players for the Juventus vs. Inter Milan Derby d’Italia. Two of them, attacking players Federico Chiesa and Kaio Jorge, are long-term injured. Furthermore, central midfielder Weston McKennie and left-winger Marley Aké can’t compete. Additionally, left-back Luca Pellegrini is suspended.
Expert analysis Inter Milan
Inter Milan lost to Liverpool in their Champions League round of sixteen. In the process, the Nerazzurri suffered a 2-0 home defeat and a useless 1-0 away win against the Reds. Moreover, from the beginning of February onwards, Simone Inzaghi’s team didn’t exactly perform well in Serie A. In their last seven league appearances, the reigning champions won only once.
That came on 4 March with a 5-0 home victory over last-placed Salernitana. This broke a streak that included a 1-2 against leaders AC Milan, a 1-1 at second-placed Napoli, a 0-2 against ninth-placed Sassuolo and a 0-0 at third-bottom Genoa. Afterwards, Inter Milan experienced two 1-1 at FC Torino and on 19 March at home against eighth-placed Fiorentina. In the match against the Tuscans, less than 2.5 goals were scored for the fifth time within six Serie A matches of the Nerazzurri.
Inzaghi may be able to draw from the full squad. After all, only central defender Stefan de Vrij is doubtful. Moreover, Lautaro Martínez’s COVID-19 infection means good news. Because: The Argentinian team striker missed the South American World Cup qualification because of it and is available again.
Head-to-head comparison Juventus – Inter Milan
It is the third derby d’Italia, Juventus vs. Inter Milan this season. The two previous matches took place at the Nerazzurri’s home ground, the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium. There, the Old Lady experienced a 1-1 in the Serie A on 24 October and a 1-2 in the Italian Super Cup on 12 January. Here, Alexis Sánchez scored the winning goal for the this time’ visitors in extra time.
Our betting prediction and the best odds
Before this derby d’Italia, Juventus vs. Inter Milan, the current record in Serie A would undoubtedly favour the Bianconeri. Furthermore, Allegri’s side will compete at home against the Nerazzurri for the first time this season. However, we would avoid three-way bets in this case.
Because: Although the guests most recently failed to show their quality, they are always capable of winning points. Furthermore, unlike his counterpart, Inzaghi may be able to draw on his full squad. On top of that, Martínez missed Argentina’s games in the South American World Cup qualifiers thanks to a COVID-19 infection he overcame.
The bottom line is that we recommend betting on Under 2.5 goals ahead of the top match at the Allianz Stadium. This event occurred in 16 of Juventus’ last 19 league games to date. Furthermore, the fact that less than two goals were scored in five of Inter Milan’s last six championship matches so far underpins our tip. On top of that, you can find relatively generous odds for this bet.
Juventus vs. Inter Milan – betting prediction: Under 2.5 goals, odds of 1.90 at bookmaker 1xBet
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