Juventus vs. Inter Milan – betting prediction, odds for the Serie A match (03.04.2022, 20:45 CET)

This weekend, the 31st matchday in the Italian Serie A will take place. Here, the Derby d’Italia Juventus vs. Inter Milan on Sunday at 20:45 represents the absolute top match. Because: The fourth-placed team will face in front of its own crowd the third-placed one, with the arch-rivals taking 59 and 60 points respectively. However, the guests played one game less. Massimiliano Irrati will be in charge of the classic match at the Allianz Stadium.

Before the Juventus vs. Inter Milan encounter, the two rivals have two wholly different records. The team coached by Massimiliano Allegri, who have been unbeaten in Serie A since the beginning of December, in the championship most recently threaded four victories. Here, the Bianconeri prevailed at Empoli (3-2), at home against Spezia (1-0), at Sampdoria (3-1) and on 20 March at home against Salernitana (2-0). The Old Lady played against teams in the second half of the table, but it certainly gave them self-confidence.

Inter Milan can only dream of this at the moment. After all, Simone Inzaghi’s team from the beginning of February won only one of its last Serie A appearances. A 5-0 home win against last-placed Salernitana on 4 March came between four draws and after two defeats. Moreover, the victory arrived between a 0-0 at third-last Genoa and a 1-1 at eleventh-placed FC Torino. Thereafter, there was a 1-1 home draw against eighth-placed Fiorentina on 19 March.

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What speaks for Juventus?

  • Plays a home game
  • Won all of their last four championship matches
  • Opponents have won only one of their last Serie A appearances so far

What speaks for Inter Milan?

  • The Old Lady has five players out
  • Inzaghi may be able to draw on the full squad
  • Lautaro Martínez didn’t play in the South American World Cup qualifiers due to a COVID-19 infection and is available to his team

Our betting prediction:

  • Bet: Under 2.5 goals
  • Bookmaker: 1xBet
  • Odds: 1.90

Expert analysis Juventus

Juventus made headlines in mid-March with a 0-3 home defeat to Villarreal in their second leg of the Champions League last sixteen. The other side of the coin is that the Old Lady, after a 0-1 home defeat to fifth-placed Atalanta, is unbeaten in the championship since the beginning of December. This included eleven victories and five draws for Massimiliano Allegri’s side.

Moreover, the hosts in the Juventus vs. Inter Milan Derby d’Italia won five of their last seven league appearances. On top of that, their last two losses by point so far happened in mid-February, with two 1-1 at Atalanta and in the home derby against eleventh-placed FC Torino. Thereafter, the Bianconeri won four Serie A matches in a row. Two of those victories arrived at home against Spezia (1-0) and on 20 March against Salernitana (2-0). In addition, there were successes at Empoli (3-2) and at Sampdoria (3-1).

Thus, Juventus most recently only competed against teams ranked in the second half of the table. Nevertheless, Allegri’s team managed to build up self-confidence. Moreover, in 16 of the Bianconeri’s last 19 Serie A matches so far, less than 2.5 goals were scored. And before the matches at Empoli and Sampdoria, this didn’t apply only to a crazy 4-3 at sixth-placed AS Roma.

Allegri will be without five players for the Juventus vs. Inter Milan Derby d’Italia. Two of them, attacking players Federico Chiesa and Kaio Jorge, are long-term injured. Furthermore, central midfielder Weston McKennie and left-winger Marley Aké can’t compete. Additionally, left-back Luca Pellegrini is suspended.

Expert analysis Inter Milan

Inter Milan lost to Liverpool in their Champions League round of sixteen. In the process, the Nerazzurri suffered a 2-0 home defeat and a useless 1-0 away win against the Reds. Moreover, from the beginning of February onwards, Simone Inzaghi’s team didn’t exactly perform well in Serie A. In their last seven league appearances, the reigning champions won only once.

That came on 4 March with a 5-0 home victory over last-placed Salernitana. This broke a streak that included a 1-2 against leaders AC Milan, a 1-1 at second-placed Napoli, a 0-2 against ninth-placed Sassuolo and a 0-0 at third-bottom Genoa. Afterwards, Inter Milan experienced two 1-1 at FC Torino and on 19 March at home against eighth-placed Fiorentina. In the match against the Tuscans, less than 2.5 goals were scored for the fifth time within six Serie A matches of the Nerazzurri.

Inzaghi may be able to draw from the full squad. After all, only central defender Stefan de Vrij is doubtful. Moreover, Lautaro Martínez’s COVID-19 infection means good news. Because: The Argentinian team striker missed the South American World Cup qualification because of it and is available again.

Head-to-head comparison Juventus – Inter Milan

It is the third derby d’Italia, Juventus vs. Inter Milan this season. The two previous matches took place at the Nerazzurri’s home ground, the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium. There, the Old Lady experienced a 1-1 in the Serie A on 24 October and a 1-2 in the Italian Super Cup on 12 January. Here, Alexis Sánchez scored the winning goal for the this time’ visitors in extra time.

Our betting prediction and the best odds

Before this derby d’Italia, Juventus vs. Inter Milan, the current record in Serie A would undoubtedly favour the Bianconeri. Furthermore, Allegri’s side will compete at home against the Nerazzurri for the first time this season. However, we would avoid three-way bets in this case.

Because: Although the guests most recently failed to show their quality, they are always capable of winning points. Furthermore, unlike his counterpart, Inzaghi may be able to draw on his full squad. On top of that, Martínez missed Argentina’s games in the South American World Cup qualifiers thanks to a COVID-19 infection he overcame.

The bottom line is that we recommend betting on Under 2.5 goals ahead of the top match at the Allianz Stadium. This event occurred in 16 of Juventus’ last 19 league games to date. Furthermore, the fact that less than two goals were scored in five of Inter Milan’s last six championship matches so far underpins our tip. On top of that, you can find relatively generous odds for this bet.

Juventus vs. Inter Milan – betting prediction: Under 2.5 goals, odds of 1.90 at bookmaker 1xBet

Alice Kopp
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By Alice Kopp

Alice is half Austrian and half Italian. That's why she experienced the 1990 World Cup in Italy at first hand. And that awakened her enthusiasm for football. Since she has loved writing since childhood, Alice began to study journalism while still at school. It was very convenient for her that her class took part in a project of a German daily newspaper. She was also allowed to write for the children's pages of an Austrian daily newspaper and to get a taste of the sports department of the same medium. This is how she received her first press accreditations, which was of course anything but a matter of course for the then 18-year-old. Although she was partly advised against it, Alice decided to study journalism and communication sciences. After a few years, she decided to use the exams she had taken as an elective. Nevertheless, she applies the knowledge she has acquired in her further professional life. The same applies to her language skills. In addition to her mother tongues German and Italian, Alice is also proficient in English and Spanish. She also understands French and can use this language in research. During her studies, Alice was involved in an Austrian football club. At the same time, she wrote for a total of three Austrian portals and worked as an Austria correspondent for an Italian-language online medium. This collaboration started during Giovanni Trapattoni's era at Red Bull Salzburg and continued during EURO 2008. This gave her the opportunity to interact with Trapattoni as well as with Italian journalists. From the following year, Alice initially worked with a Swiss portal before discovering sports betting content for herself. On the one hand, this kept her in sports journalism, and on the other, it broadened her horizons. And that both in the context of the sports betting industry and with other sports as well as countries. In the field of sports journalism, she focused in particular on football from around the world, volleyball and beach volleyball. In addition, she naturally wrote several guides, bookmaker profiles, bonus articles and other content for betting enthusiasts. She did this for the same company for about ten years, writing articles in German and Italian. She also built the Italian-language website together with the managing director. Meanwhile, Alice started working with another Austrian football club. Furthermore, she joined the Association Internationale de la Presse Sportive (AIPS) in 2016. This gives her the opportunity to watch teams and athletes on the ground relatively often. Not only sports betting, but also radio In January 2019, the next step in her professional development followed. For: she started creating premium content on the topic of sports betting. In the process, she finally put out feelers to almost all countries and all continents. And this was not least due to the fact that both German and English-speaking users subscribed to her content. Nevertheless, Alice continued to use her knowledge of Italian, among other things. On the one hand, because she regularly exchanges ideas with Italian colleagues, and on the other, because she works with a web radio station. The Corona crisis had a strong impact on the sports world and on interest in sports betting, primarily in the early days. Therefore, a fresh start was necessary and, on balance, Alice found the fields of activity that suited her best. She also writes articles for an agency on almost all disciplines as well as on eSports and content for a German online medium. Alice is half Austrian and half Italian. That's why she experienced the 1990 World Cup in Italy at first hand. And that awakened her enthusiasm for football.