This weekend, the 27th matchday in the Italian Serie A will be played. Here, the match Lazio vs. Napoli will take place on Sunday at 20:50. So, the sixth and the third, who took 43 and 54 points respectively, will face each other. Marco Di Bello will be in charge of the match at Rome’s Olympic Stadium.
Both teams were eliminated from the Europa League on Thursday and therefore are eager to make amends. Lazio drew 2-2 at home against Porto after a 1-2 away defeat. In between, Maurizio Sarri’s side saw a 1-1 at fifth-bottom Udinese on Sunday. Before that, in their last championship home game so far, they beat twelfth-placed Bologna 3-0.
Napoli drew 1-1 away and then lost 2-4 at home to Barcelona in their knockout round play-off. However, in Serie A, the team from the city at the feet of Mount Vesuvius is unbeaten in seven appearances. But, after four straight wins, Luciano Spalletti’s side had to accept two 1-1. Here, they dropped points at home against second-placed Inter Milan and on Monday at third-last-placed Cagliari.
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What speaks for Lazio?
- Playing in front of a home crowd
- Did not concede a goal in Serie A between mid-January and mid-February
- Won three out of four championship games during this period
- Opponents have more players out
What speaks for Napoli?
- Unbeaten in seven league appearances with four wins and three draws
- Won eleven of their last 14 games against Lazio so far
Our betting tip:
- Bet: Under 2.5 goals
- Bookmaker: 1xBet
- Odds: 2.01
Expert analysis Lazio
For Lazio, the home clash against Napoli comes three days after a 2-2 home draw against Porto. After losing 1-2 to the Portuguese side in the first leg, the team from Rome failed to advance to the round of sixteen.
In the Serie A, the Biancocelesti, with the former Napoli coach Maurizio Sarri at the sidelines since this season, are unbeaten in five games. However, a 1-1 at fifth-bottom Udinese on Sunday snapped a run of four games in which Lazio kept a clean sheet.
Here, the Aquile managed three 3-0 victories at Salernitana, at Fiorentina and on 12 February at home against Bologna. With the exception of seventh-placed Fiorentina, whose defence had a black day, Lazio faced teams from the second half of the table. Moreover, Salernitana are the last-placed squad. In between, Sarri’s side drew 0-0 at home to fifth-placed Atalanta.
In Udine, the coach of this time’s home team had to do without five players. Two of them, defensive midfielder Lucas Leiva and central midfielder Luis Alberto, were suspended. Additionally, top scorer and captain Ciro Immobile, central defender Francesco Acerbi and right midfielder Manuel Lazzari missed the match. From today’s view, only Lazzari will be absent for the top match Lazio vs. Napoli.
Expert analysis Napoli
Napoli drew 1-1 at Barcelona in the first leg of their Europa League clash. That gave the team from the city at the feet of Mount Vesuvius all the more hope of advancing to the round of sixteen. However, the Blaugrana dashed these with a 4-2 away win.
After an early 0-2 deficit, Lorenzo Insigne converted a penalty in the 27th minute. However, a goal by Gerard Piqué just before the break proverbially broke the neck and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang scored in the 59th minute for the 4-1. The second goal for Spalletti’s side by Matteo Politano did only come in the 87th minute.
Napoli’s record in Serie A looks very different. The team from the city at the feet of Mount Vesuvius remained unbeaten for seven matches. After a 1-1 draw with fourth-placed Juventus, they initially managed four victories in a row. The last of these arrived on 6 February with a 2-0 at fourth-last Venezia.
Six days later, Napoli hosted second-placed Inter Milan, with the top-of-the-table duel ending 1-1. More surprisingly, Napoli lost points with the same result at third-bottom Cagliari on Monday. Victor Osimhen took the chestnuts out of the fire with an 87th-minute goal. Moreover, for the ninth time in ten championship games played by the visitors, less than 2.5 goals were scored.
As things stand, Spalletti will be without four players for the Lazio vs. Napoli match. Two of them, André Zambo Anguissa and Stanislav Lobotka, play in the defensive midfield. Furthermore, right-back Kévin Malcuit and the forward Hirving Lozano will miss out.
Head-to-head comparison Lazio – Napoli
The first Lazio vs. Napoli clash took place on 28 November and ended with a 4-0 home win for the southern Italians. Thus, the southern Italians achieved their eleventh victory in 14 competitive matches against the Romans. The second exception came on 20 October 2020 with a 2-0 home win. Afterwards, the team from the city at the feet of Vesuvius took its first revenge with a 5-2.
Our betting tip and the best odds
Before the top match Lazio vs. Napoli, the teams have in common that they are unbeaten in Serie A since January. Here, the home side won three of their four championship games until mid-February. Moreover, even if against teams from the second half of the table, the guests threaded four victories. Therefore, we would refrain from three-way bets.
Most recently, Napoli had to settle for 1-1 draws at home against Inter Milan and at Cagliari. And the latter match was the ninth time in ten league appearances for Spalletti’s squad that less than 2.5 goals were scored. This has happened in definitely less of Lazio’s appearances, but the 0-0 home draw against Atalanta and the 1-1 draw in Udine strengthen our prediction.
Lazio vs. Napoli – betting tip: Under 2.5 goals, odds 2.01 at bookmaker 1xBet