Wimbledon 2022 – 1st Round Predictions & Odds (27.06.2022)
Tennis predictions

Wimbledon 2022 – 1st Round Predictions & Odds (27.06.2022)

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From Monday, 27 June, one of the most important tennis tournaments in the world will begin again: Wimbledon. And especially the first rounds of the only Grand Slam tournament on grass offer numerous excellent betting opportunities. We have picked out the best bets and odds for the first day of the tournament.

From Monday, 27 June, one of the most important tennis tournaments in the world will begin again: Wimbledon. And especially the first rounds of the only Grand Slam tournament on grass offer numerous excellent betting opportunities. We have picked out the best bets and odds for the first day of the tournament.

Special characteristics of the Grand Slam tournament

The special thing about the grass court tournament is that many players specialise explicitly in the fast surface or have prepared themselves specifically for it. Other players who feel more comfortable on clay, for example, compete less often in tournaments on grass and are often eliminated against players who are far below them in the world rankings. In a sport where the density is incredibly high – apart from some of the well-known high-flyers (Djokovic, Nadal, Federer) – it is usually only nuances that give a player an advantage.

Clay court voles vs. service monsters

The oddsmakers at the major sportsbooks base their predictions primarily on the world rankings and performances within a calendar year. Some players who have done well on clay receive inflated odds. This is a good opportunity to place some interesting bets. We have taken a close look at the first-round pairings and picked out some matches for you.

Among the first-round encounters, there are many matches where the winner is more or less certain, at least on paper, and the odds are therefore very low (Djokovic, Vesely, Nadal, Tsitsipas or Kyrgios). Sensations are always possible, but a lot would of events would have to come together until that happens. Other favoured players whose progress seems at least very likely are less worthwhile as individual bets, but can be used in handicap bets or possibly in combos: Sock, Griekspoor, Goffin or Fritz are worth mentioning here.

Thiago Monteiro vs. Jaume Munar

Both players prefer to play on clayJaume Munar feels particularly comfortable there and detests hard courts, indoor courts and especially grass. In his entire career, Munar has not won a single match on grass – his only attempt this year failed against the Russian Karatsev. Monteiro is better on hard courts and has already won four matches on grass. In Eastbourne, he prevailed in the qualifiers and was only beaten in the first round by grass court specialist and eventual tournament winner Fritz.

Bet: Thiago Monteiro -2.5 games @1.83 (Bet365)

Daniel Altmaier vs. Mikael Ymer

Germany’s Daniel Altmaier made a good impression in his grass court appearances in Stuttgart, Halle and Mallorca and could only be stopped by proven grass court specialists like Otte, Bonzi or Kyrgios in each case. Swedish clay court specialist Mikael Ymer won a match against a player ranked 200 places behind him in Eastbourne, but then had to admit defeat to James Duckworth. Altmaier should be able to beat the Swede.

Bet: Daniel Altmaier wins @1.91 (William Hill)

Jay Clarke vs. Christian Harrison

Britain’s Jay Clarke has lost three of his four grass matches this year, albeit against players known for their qualities on grass: Nakashima, Ruusuvuori and Thompson. Harrison has struggled through the qualifying rounds, although he has not faced a specialist or a top-200 player there. Jay Clarke will be too strong for the American. The bookies are split between these players, with odds around 2.00 for both at various providers. However, we see the advantage for the local hero Jay Clarke.

Bet: Jay Clarke wins @1.95 (Interwetten.com)

Jannik Sinner vs. Stanislas Wawrinka

Italian Sinner is seeded 10th and is now 250 places ahead of Swiss veteran Wawrinka in the world rankings. But Sinner has not played much lately. He was ruled out of the French Open in the last 16 due to injury and only played one preparation match on grass in Eastbourne, which he lost to Tommy Paul. Paul also played against Wawrinka and won. Wawrinka showed his strength against the American Tiafoe, who lost the match at the Queen’s Club after three tiebreaks. Sinner is despite his lack of matches since the French Open not to be underestimated, on a good day he is physically better than Wawrinka. But the Swiss did not travel to London for fun and will give Sinner a hot fight. We are betting on more than 38.5 games in this match. It does not matter who wins, but each of the two players should win at least one set.

Bet: More than 38.5 games @1.83 (Bet365)

Taro Daniel vs. Sebastian Baez

An interesting matchup between the 1.91m tall Japanese Taro Daniel and the 1.70m tall clay court burrower Sebastian Baez. Daniel has shown particular qualities on the faster courts in Australia this year, while Baez’s qualities on clay have taken him to 36th in the world rankings. In Mallorca, he surprisingly eliminated grass specialist Jordan Thompson in the first round but then lost to Daniel Altmaier. Taro also surprised with his wins against Kudla and Virtanen in Mallorca, only former Wimbledon semi-finalist Bautista-Agut could stop him. The excellent server Taro Daniel should have many advantages over the clay court specialist Baez, but it will not be an easy match.
Nevertheless, the odds are tempting, so we are betting on a win for Taro Daniel.

Bet: Win Taro Daniel @1.95 (Betsson)

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Max lives half in Spain, half in South America and is originally a journalist and author, but in the past 20 years he also got to know the sports betting world from different sides. Among other things, he worked as an odds compiler for German sports at a large British provider and acquired a healthy basic knowledge of statistics. On the side, he had a weekly Bundesliga column in a major Hong Kong newspaper and worked in an advisory capacity for sports betting providers as well as professional bettors. He is an expert on German football and follows with great enthusiasm any other sport where there are rolling and flying balls, interesting statistics and good betting opportunities.