In the coming days, in Brazil’s Serie A the fixtures of the 16th round will take place. Here, on Saturday at 21:00 CET, for example, the clash Palmeiras vs Fortaleza will be played. Thus, the sixth and the ninth in Brazil’s Serie A table will face each other at the Allianz Parque in São Paulo. The Porco and the Leão do Pici collected 25 and 23 points respectively.
What speaks for Palmeiras?
- The visitors lost three of their last four league away matches.
What speaks for Fortaleza?
- Up to and including early July, their opponents conceded at least one goal in five of their last six Serie A fixtures.
Our betting prediction:
- Prediction: Under 2.5 goals
- Odds: 1.91
Expert analysis Palmeiras
The home side in the Palmeiras vs Fortaleza clash collected 13 of their 25 points in Brazil’s Serie A table in the first five matchdays. Here, Abel Ferreira’s team achieved one draw and four victories. The last of these arrived on 11 May with a 4-1 over the third-placed Grêmio at the Allianz Parque. Two days later, the Porco drew 1-1 at home to the seventh-ranked Bragantino.
Retrospectively, it marked the first of eighth loss of points for Palmeiras in ten league matches. Then, May ended for the reigning champions with a 0-0 at the 14th-placed Santos and a 1-1 at the twelfth-ranked Atlético Mineiro. That streak was snapped on 4 June with a 3-1 home win over the third-bottom Coritiba, which was followed four days later by a 2-0 at the fourth-placed São Paulo. However, these victories were a flash in the pan.
Because: June ended with 0-1 defeats at the fifth-last Bahia and at home against the leaders Botafogo RJ. So far in this month, the Porco drew 2-2 at the eighth-placed Athletico Paranaense, 1-1 at the Allianz Parque against the second-ranked Flamengo and, on 16 July, 0-0 at the eleventh-placed Internacional. The match against the side from Porto Alegre marked the eighth time in Palmeiras’ last ten league appearances, in which less than 2.5 goals resulted.
Expert analysis Fortaleza
The same event applied to ten of Fortaleza’s last twelve Serie A appearances. The first exception arrived on 20 May with a 1-2 away defeat to the last-placed América Mineiro. Immediately before and afterwards, Juan Pablo Vojvoda’s side managed a 0-0 at Grêmio plus a 2-0 home win over the penultimate-placed Vasco da Gama.
However, this initially represented a flash in the pan. Because: For the Leão do Pici, June began with a 0-0 in front of their supporters against Bahia and with a 0-2 away defeat against Botafogo. But Fortaleza then temporarily returned to the winning track with a 1-0 at the tenth-placed Cruzeiro and a 2-1 against Atlético Mineiro.
But the team from the homonymous capital of the state of Ceará lost two of their three Serie A fixtures so far in this month. Vojvoda’s team was beaten 0-2 at Flamengo and on Sunday at home 0-1 against the 13th-ranked Cuiabá. In between, they managed a 1-0 home win over Athletico Paranaense on 9 July.
Head-to-head comparison Palmeiras vs Fortaleza
This will be the third Palmeiras vs Fortaleza clash in this year’s competition. Because: The Porco and the Leão do Pici duelled in the Copa do Brasil. Here, Palmeiras experienced against Fortaleza a 3-0 home win and a 0-1 away defeat.
Our betting prediction and the best odds
In five of Palmeiras’ last six championship matches, less than 2.5 goals were scored. The exception, a 2-2 at Athletico Paranaense, came after two 0-1 defeats at the fifth-bottom Bahia and at home to the leaders Botafogo. Then, the Porco experienced a 1-1 against the second-placed Flamengo and a 0-0 at Internacional.
Additionally, in seven of Fortaleza’s last eight Serie A fixtures, a maximum of two goals resulted. After a 2-1 win over Atlético Mineiro, this time’s visitors alternated two losses at Flamengo (0-2) plus with the 13th-placed Cuiabá (0-1), with a 1-0 win over Athletico Paranaense in between.
Palmeiras vs Fortaleza – betting prediction: Under 2.5 goals, odds 1.77
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