Paris Saint-Germain vs Montpellier – betting prediction, odds for the Ligue 1 match (03.11.2023, 21:00 CET)

This weekend, France’s Ligue 1 will play the fixtures of the eleventh round. Paris Saint-Germain vs HSC Montpellier will open the schedule on Friday at 21.00 CET. Thus, the second- and eleventh-placed teams in France’s Ligue 1 table will compete against each other at the Parc de Princes. PSG and the Paillade have 21 and 11 points respectively.

What speaks for Paris Saint-Germain?

• Won four of its last five league matches.
• Celebrated three of those victories against teams ranking in the top half of the table.

What speaks for Montpellier?

• Netted six times in its four matches from late September to early October.
• Can only surprise in a clash against PSG.

Our betting prediction:

• Prediction: Paris Saint-Germain & Under 4.5 goals
• Odds: 1.84

Expert analysis Paris Saint-Germain

In their ten Ligue 1 appearances in the 2023/2024 season, the home side in the Paris Saint-Germain vs Montpellier clash experienced six victories, three draws and one defeat. Here, Luis Enrique’s side lost 2-3 at home to the leaders OGC Nice on 15 September. Afterwards, PSG won four of their most recent five league matches. A goalless draw at the penultimate-placed Clermont on 30 September constituted the exception.

However, between those two point losses, Paris Saint-Germain celebrated a 4-0 in the classic against the ninth-placed Olympique Marseille. In October, PSG in three Ligue 1 appearances threaded as many victories. First, they managed a 3-1 at the eighth-placed Stade Rennais and a 3-0 against the fifth-bottom, RC Strasbourg. Then, Enrique’s side beat the sixth-ranked Stade Brest 3-2 on Sunday. However, the reigning champions squandered a 2-0 lead before Kylian Mbappé scored the decisive goal in the 89th minute.

Expert analysis Montpellier

HSC Montpellier have one fixture and one point less in the Ligue 1 standings. The home game against Clermont will be replayed on 29 November. Michel Der Zakarian’s side was leading 4-2 in the final minutes on 8 October when a firecracker exploded near the Clermont’s goalkeeper Mory Diaw. The disciplinary committee also decided to deduct a point. October started for the Paillade with a 3-0 at the fourth-last, Lorient.

This marked HSC Montpellier’s third consecutive point win. Previously, the eleventh-placed team in the Ligue 1 table recorded a 2-2 at RC Strasbourg and a 0-0 against Stade Rennais. In their first appearance since the scandalous clash against Clermont and the international break, the Paillade lost 0-2 at the seventh-placed Nantes. Then, HSC Montpellier got back on the winning track with a 3-0 win over twelfth-placed Toulouse on Sunday.

Head-to-head comparison Paris Saint-Germain vs Montpellier

Paris Saint-Germain won all their last eight Ligue 1 fixtures against HSC Montpellier. Furthermore, in four of the capital club’s most recent five victories, less than 4.5 goals were scored. The exception came on 13 August 2022 with a 5-2 win at the Parc de Princes. However, Neymar, who meanwhile moved to Saudi Arabia, scored a brace. This was followed by a 3-1 away win on 1 February.

Our betting prediction and the best odds

The home side in the Ligue 1 match Paris Saint-Germain vs HSC Montpellier celebrated on Sunday a 3-2 at Stade Brest. Kylian Mbappé scored the decisive goal in the 89th minute. It gave the second-placed side their fourth win in five appearances. The exception, a 0-0 at Clermont, happened between a 4-0 against Olympique Marseille and a 3-1 at Rennes. In the last home match, they celebrated a 3-0 against RC Strasbourg. Additionally, in the last five matches of the Paillade, less than 4.5 goals resulted. Here, the guests won only at the fourth-last from Lorient and at home against Toulouse. In their last away match, they lost 0-2 at Nantes.

Paris Saint-Germain vs Montpellier – betting prediction: Paris Saint-Germain & Under 4.5 goals, odds 1.84

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